6 questions for a new product “reality check”

Most new products fail, and most of these failures are almost predictable, particularly in fast moving consumer markets, where the adage that “you need to be prepared to fail often to succeed sometimes” is regularly taken to irresponsible lengths.

Following is a simple 6 point checklist, developed by trial and error over 35 years in FMCG. Failure on any one parameter should be a “whoa” sign to you.

    1. Is the market real? Will consumers actually but it, and what will they buy it instead of, are there enough potential consumers to make the product viable?
    2. Does the product deliver superior value in some way to consumers that is visible to them, and capable of being communicated simply and clearly?
    3. Can the product be competitive in the market?, are the margins satisfactory? Can you afford the brand and channel expenditures? how will the existing category incumbents react, and what is your response?
    4. Can your business be competitive? Are the processes and infrastructure in place? Do you have the sales force capable of selling?
    5. What is the Risk/reward profile of the investment for you?
    6. Is the product and its service infrastructure  aligned with your strategy?

Some effort in answering these questions should yield an increase in the success rate, they constitute a good hurdle in the NPD process before you go far past prototyping stages.

When you need a hand, give someone with the necessary experience a call, preferably me, but if not me, someone else you can trust.

The new power of one

The power in commercial relationships has shifted dramatically since the net. It has removed the power previously held by companies and institutions and handed it to individuals who choose to use it.

No more can an enterprise afford to ignore or annoy an individual without cause, or even with cause, as the individual now has  the capacity to publicly respond with twitter, facebook, linked-in, et al, and have an impact inconceivable just a few years ago.

This is not evolution, it is revolution, as the constraints on the ability to communicate and coalesce around an issue is unprecedented, and represents a fundamental re-ordering of the balance of power. The  changes in the external environment are changing much, much quicker than the average organisation is able to change in anticipation, creating a significant short term risk for many of them. 

 

Few transaction costs = easy group formation = new corporate risk

Corporations default to functional silos, despite the efforts of most to recognise the horizontal cross functional nature of processes, the things that gets stuff done. This is because in the past, you required hands to move things around, make calls, stuff envelopes, travel, all adding to the cost of completion.

Individuals personal networks tend to also run  in silos, the football group, the school friends, workmates, and so on, but the demarcation is a bit more blurred than at work.

Social networking tools have further blurred the demarcation , and networks can go way beyond the face to face relationships of old, and those networks can be leveraged across many tipping points and considerable social energy can be built, simply by harnessing the dynamics of the group.

Corporations are coming around to this self-evident (if you happen to be under 35)fact, but they are largely run by people not engaged with social networks so the evolution is far quicker outside corporations than inside them. Remember the huge embarrassment of Nestle a while ago, in relation to use of non sustainable sources of Palm oil, embarrassment that could have been easily mitigated had someone in a senior position watched their own facebook site, twitter, or even listened to someone who was.

The formation of groups around a question, issue, or cause is suddenly quite easy, and for corporations adds a huge risk to their intangible assets, and they usually are blissfully unaware in the boardroom.

The risk can be mitigated, but it requires individual with the organisational power  to cede control of the details of “management” of the on line groups to individuals who are engaged in the processes, as the risks can emerge almost instantly, and requires instant response.

What next for “Free”?

As the marginal cost of transactions on the web approaches zero, more and more stuff is “free” . When something is given, the  act of giving usually sets up a dynamic of “obligation” on the part of the receiver.

This blog is published on WordPress, for free, the cost to WordPress of hosting my blog, and supplying me with the software is approaching zero.

At some point, I will probably want some features not offered for free. At that time, it is highly unlikely I will go anywhere but the upgrade button on the Blog dashboard, and then Wordpress will generate some revenue, and I will feel I have offered some return for the free use of the software and hosting to this point, as well as not having to climb the barriers to exit.

This dynamic is being repeated everywhere on the web, almost to the point of “free” being the generic price of many services, Wikipedia being the classic.

For marketers, the question is “what is better than free?”, how can we attract customers when free is no longer sufficiently distinctive to be attractive? This goes to the heart of how publishers, of all types, reconstruct their business model to extract a living as their consumer base gets increasingly used to getting their “product” for free.   

 

Opposites attract?

    Only in physics, in personal relationships we seek common ground, people who under stand instinctively what we are saying and thinking, and who work the way we do.

    Collaborative teams  and alliances of many types often fail from the start because those who join, or are “volunteered” are similar, whereas in a collaborative team with a problem to solve, you need all types, and the processes to assist the management of the  group need to be a part of the consideration.

    You need at least one of each of the four behavioral extremes;

  1. Someone who is creative, out there, not too concerned with convention and how it has been done before
  2. Someone who is numbers and data driven, analytical, who seeks quantitative foundations for hypotheses and ideas
  3. Someone who just has to complete, they like to plan, and then work the plan to the end
  4. Someone who builds bridges, and can assist the relationships, both internally and with outsiders
  5. These four types will not often come together without assistance, as they are very different, they see thing  in conflicting ways, but to solve a problem, or make an alliance really work and create value for all, that’s just what you need, it is just harder to manage.