8 ways to build a hypothesis testing mind set.

curiosity

The most successful people I have seen over 40 years of business share one crucial characteristic.

Curiosity.

The successful are insatiably  curious, it spans all aspects of their lives, not just the parts that are spent working at what pays the mortgage, but across all aspects of their private and social lives as well as their commercial ones.

Curiosity also in independent of the size of the enterprise, and often happens in clusters, as one curious person infect those around them. The Medici effect.

Supporting the curiosity are a number of specific behaviours I have observed, that to a greater of lesser extend are exhibited by all, they are in effect the enabling behaviours of their curiosity.

  1. They are always asking questions, some whilst knowing that the receiver has no idea of the answer, or even if one exists.
  2. They seek alternative views everywhere, encouraging others to play devils advocate
  3. They network relentlessly, seeking a diversity of views, not just on their areas of specific interest, but across the span of human activity
  4. They read widely, then test what they have read against their own experience
  5. They are curious about advances and ideas outside their area of immediate focus
  6. They observe, play “fly on the wall” looking for jobs to be done” by all the products being used in the environment they are observing.
  7. They experiment relentlessly, often in very small ways, and explicitly set out to understand what worked, what did not, and why.
  8. They record everything, by making notes, using a Dictaphone, and more recently using the plethora of mobile devices to great benefit.

Perhaps you can add some more, but at least ask yourself how many of these you display, and are they displayed by those around you.

How to build a personal brand

personal brand

Personal branding seems to be a popular topic around the pub, even the brickie who lives a few streets away, and is not known for his new age sensitivities, has got a hold of it.

It is not new, Julius Caesar had a personal brand well before Bill Shakespeare wrote a play about him,  and they killed him for it.

Tom Peters, who was really “hot” in the nineties wrote a prescient Fast Company article  about personal branding, but missed the point, at least to my mind. This Roger Duncan e-book does it much better,  listing 8 behaviors that build a personal brand, and if you followed the list, no doubt you would make a mark.

However, I think it can be summarised better, in a few words.

“Always deliver greater value than is expected”. Simple, but complicated at the same time.

A mate of mine was offered a bundle, just to meet with someone he knew vaguely for a coffee. If asked nicely, he probably would have made the 20 minutes, but being offered money????. He did not have the coffee, and it turned out that the supplicant did want something from him, and had my friend taken the money, it would have set up an obligation to deliver something he may rather not have.

There is never something for nothing in business, when it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

Doing something unexpected for others, over delivering in the parlance, builds a bank of goodwill that at some point will be repaid.

Perhaps not today, or tomorrow, but it will come back to you. That is the way you build a persona brand, based on honesty, transparency, and over-delivery.

Renting your sales.

 

isle endWalking into chain retailers these days you are inevitably confronted by displays of product, usually at a discount.

Most people seem to think that it is the retailer doing the promotion as a means to attract added sales, which is true, but the reality is that the promotion is funded by the suppliers, and it is a competition for the retail space that is generally won by those suppliers  with the deepest pockets, and best information.

Retailers are in two businesses, selling stuff to consumers, and renting retail space to suppliers. Chain retailers business model relies on a formula that accommodates volume, revenue,  and total margin over the space allocated. This can get very complicated, as the number of variables is enormous.

For a supplier to a chain retailer, the challenge is to balance the complex and  competing demands of enterprise profitability and investment  in the future against the need to meet retailer margin  demands  necessary to retain access to the consumer via the distribution controlled by the retailer.

Of real significance is the difference between sales that would have been made irrespective of promotional activity the “base sales rate” and sales made in a period as a result of promotional activity, “incremental sales”.

The need to fund retailer margin via promotional allowances is universal, but the sales that occur as a result of the activity may not be there when there is no activity, and are therefore” rented” sales. The effectiveness of the activity has many measures, but to the supplier two measures only are of any real use.

    1. The real cost of the promotional activity including all discounts on deal volumes and associated co-operative advertising.
    2. The number of consumers who convert over time from being a rented consumer to one who becomes a part of the base sales volume.

If you are not making these calculations, and adjusting the mix of your expenditure programs accordingly, and are prepared to make some very tough choices on the basis of the information gathered, chances are you are going broke being successful, a very common complaint in the Australian FMCG market.

 

 

Category management steroids

This post goes back to mid 2012. A conversation yesterday with a colleague brought it to mind, as we were discussing the the opportunities to monetise Intellectual Capital of the sort represented by the 1200 odd StrategyAudit posts. “You know more about category management that almost anyone”, he said, “You almost invented what was then Trade Marketing 30 years ago, there must be a bob here somewhere”.
Perhaps self indulgently, I agree.

Organised serendipity

courtesy respectserendipity.com

courtesy respectserendipity.com

At first sight, “Organised” and “Serendipity” are at opposite ends of the scale, almost mutually exclusive.

Serendipity occurs by chance, when the stars align, the unexpected happens and not by any organised process, or so we are led to believe. Organisation by contrast removes by its nature the chance occurrences, random relationships, and inconsistency that make serendipity possible.

As collaboration increases and we recognise and  seek to harness the intellectual capital of individuals by what is often called loose/tight management, the opportunity for serendipity increases, simply because the processes that run our lives are looser, more inclusive rather than exclusive.  The use of technology to facilitate collaboration and recording process has increased the opportunity for those serendipitous moments and insights that just used to occur at the water cooler, and in the lunch room.

It follow then that setting out to organise in such a way that the chances of serendipity are enhanced is both logical and indeed, is a competitive necessity. It is after all where the insights that lead to innovation and its rewards are born.

Are you organised for it?