Have the Liberals crossed their Rubicon?

Have the Liberals crossed their Rubicon?

In 49 BC Julius Caesar led his legions across the Rubicon river, the line that separated ancient Gaul from Roman controlled Italy. Ever since, the term ‘Crossing the Rubicon’ has entered the lexicon as describing passing the point of no return.

Last week the Liberal Party crossed its Rubicon, and I guess we will all get to judge the result in May next year. However, history tells us exactly what will happen.

Bill Shorten is in the middle of his “Steven Bradbury’ moment.  If he keeps his head down, he will be the last man standing, and as such, he will be PM next year. Perhaps not the next PM, that may be some apparatchik from the depths of the Liberal party, just before Christmas, but the next one to face the electorate rather than their mates in the house.

In this case, the Rubicon is not a river, and not even about the leadership, screwed up as that is, it is about that most elusive and challenging to define words: Trust.

We the electorate needs to trust our elected leaders to do as they say they will, and to act in our best interests.

Political parties in a democracy rely on trust to gain and retain power, trust in the institution the party represents, and in the people who are its face.

Both sides of politics have utterly blown it!

A political brand is a most fragile construction. In the Australian context, with compulsory voting and an institutionalised two party system, change is really hard, so to successfully make it, trust is an absolute pre-requisite..

Two words are missing from the whole debacle, which together go a long way towards building trust, along with the behaviour exhibited on a daily basis. The trouble for the political classes is that they are also a foundation of trust, acting in a virtuous circle,———-or not, as the case may be.

Courage

Honour.

Courage is something you find on the football field, or in the face of some adversity, according to the popular press, but is it, really? I suggest not of the sort we are seeking in our leaders.

Truly courageous people find moral courage, which is being prepared to stand against the tide for something you believe in.

There seems to be a significant lack of moral courage in the big house, just as we are facing problems that need it to be exercised.

I see very little evidence of honour on display, just tides of expediency and self interest, although there are a few small green shoots in the desert to give hope. Warren Entsch is one prepared to speak his mind, and my local member Craig Laundy stood himself down from the new ministry, it seems on principal. I am sure there are a few others, voices smothered by the political bullshit blanket.

Were any of our current crop of political ‘leaders’ to drop off the perch today, would they attract the sort of words that have accompanied the death of John McCain on Saturday? I doubt it very much. It would just be another scramble for pre-selection and a chance to jump onto the gravy train.

The long term challenge is how do we, as a community,  attract good people, those with the moral fibre we so desperately need, to the political table. The same disease seems to infect leadership in many places, as evidenced by two Royal Commissions currently in the headlines.  I do wish I had some sage and positive advice to replace the sarcasm and disaffection I feel.

 

Cartoon credit: nicked from the great David Rowe in the Fin Review.

 

21 Lessons from a manufacturing turnaround

21 Lessons from a manufacturing turnaround

 

I was asked the question ‘what did you learn from the turnaround of the GPD‘ a while ago, and was persuaded to present on it.

The GPD was the ‘General Products Division’ of the Dairy Farmers Co-Operative Ltd. It produced all the dairy products you manufacture with milk, which were at the time (mid 80’s) unregulated, while the stuff you put on your cereal in the mornings was regulated to the wahzoo. The GPD  was spun out of the much larger milk business so it could be run as a business, and not an outpost to absorb the milk not required in the regulated market.

Various aspects of that journey have been in these pages before, but I had never contemplated the question in depth and from a height, at the same time.

I started with the business just after it had been set up, then called the ‘By-Products Division’ and in the early stages of building a new ‘state of the art’ factory in Western Sydney.

The division was commercial road kill.  I know that as I did the first P&L by hand, (calculator, 18 column ledger sheets, pencil and rubber)  from scraps of information gathered and constructed from a variety of sources, and a lot of observation.

From that position, turning over $32 million, losing somewhere between $6 & $8 million, with the heavy commitment of the half finished high tech plant nobody knew how to run, 8 years later it was turning $162 million and making good money, with much improvement still to be done. It was a very substantial turnaround, not without its share of drama and missteps,  moments of joy and ‘what the hell just happened’. It was a journey that involved everybody in the business, at first reluctantly, then enthusiastically, had built astonishing momentum that was really only obvious to those on the inside.

Then it was stuffed up by a stupid decision to re-incorporate the business back into the milk business in order to ‘spread the successful commercial DNA‘  in preparation for the inevitable deregulation of white milk.

Over the first 6 years I carried responsibility for the Logistics, and part of  the sales, in addition to the marketing role I was hired for, and for  the last 2 years that the GPD was a separate entity, I was the GM. My ideal job at that time in my life.

Over the eight years, the business and its processes was totally reorganised, the  culture completely turned around, and we launched a string of successful market leading products, all of which contributed to the success.

So what did I learn, in no particular order?

  • You have to engage all employees, at all levels in the journey. They must understand their role and importance in that journey and to each other.
  • When you make a blue, recognise it early, correct and move on. Chasing a sunk investment that is not working is a terrible mistake to make.
  • Never look back with nostalgia, just for the lessons as input for what is next.
  • Price is not a measure of customer value, it is simply a means to express it that is understood, and unfortunately, usually misunderstood. Price only really matters when all other things are equal.
  • No business can be all things to all people.
  • Look after your small customers, one day they might be your big ones.
  • Standards of performance and behaviour have to be both present, well understood, transparent, and meticulously followed by those who set the tone.
  • The greater the general level of transparency the better. Hiding bad news never works, and brushing over problems just lets them fester and get worse. ‘Nip it in the bud’ is always a good piece of advice.
  • A managers job is to support the efforts of their staff, not the other way around. Successful companies extend trust to all employees at all levels, and deals with those who breach that trust openly, and absolutely consistently.
  • Breaching trust is very different to making a mistake. ‘Good’ mistakes are the result of initiative, trial and error implemented with due diligence, and are essential for learning.
  • Continuous investment in product and brand development is necessary, and even more important when times are tough. A great mistake is to see this investment as an expense item in the P&L, available to be managed to deliver a short term result. A powerful brand does not happen overnight, is the outcome of many thousands of small actions and improvements, as well as the obvious external marketing activity,  and it is the greatest asset any business can have.
  • The culture of the place is very hard to describe to an outsider, but clear to an insider. It is a mix of rules, experiences, stories, relationships, habits, and is more complex than any family.
  • Have in place a robust and well understood strategic process which serves as a framework for all decision making at all levels. When an opportunity presents itself, no matter how attractive it may seem, if it is outside the framework, leave it alone.
  • Have in place a robust but simple set of KPI’s intimately connected to the strategy, cascaded through every level, and proactively managed.
  • Never compete with a stronger competitor on their ground.
  • As far as possible, fund growth from cash flow. Long term debt is sometimes necessary, but can turn toxic when the best interests of the lender and the business diverge.
  • Be prepared to kill your favourite children and sacred cows, just be careful to ensure they are not golden geese in disguise.
  • Look for diversity in the thinking styles of people, and encourage that diversity of thought to bubble through and influence the whole business.
  • Treat employees as you would a trusted associate, not a piece on a chess board to be moved around at will. That trust will pay huge dividends in morale, productivity and loyalty
  • Institutionalise regular interaction and conversations across functions and up and down the company, without the impediment of formal roles.
  • Continuous improvement in everything should be so ingrained that people feel its absence keenly.

My final two years in Dairy Farmers were as GM Marketing of the much larger entity that now included the former GPD. While the business continued to be successful, the pace of change and improvement stalled under the dead weight of the still regulated milk business. After  two years, the MD of the business reached the end of his tether with me, constantly being a thorn in his side demanding change, and I with him, so one morning we parted company. The irony is that during this time, I (and the marketing team) launched the single most successful product I ever launched, the last in a long list of successful product launches as an employee. However, the means by which I had to subvert the ‘rules’ to do so were the nail in my corporate coffin.

Another two years on after my exit, the business was flogged off, ultimately to a Japanese brewer, at what I regarded as a fraction of its long term value. A sad end indeed to an iconic Australian food manufacturing business, and perhaps a metaphor for the whole food industry.

 

 

What can our political clowns learn from Jeff Bezos

What can our political clowns learn from Jeff Bezos

The current clown-party in Canberra brings tears of frustration one moment, scorn and anger the next, followed by an overwhelming sense of incredulity.

This was posted early Friday morning August 24th, and by the time you read it,  well, anything could have happened.

The one thing that I am sure will not have happened is that common sense will suddenly rain down on the Liberal party. Therefore,  they may have persuaded Fraser Anning to swap parties, again, with the promise of the Immigration portfolio in a reborn Abbott government.

Perhaps drawing a bit of a long bow, even for the clowns.

Arguably the most successful leader of the last 30 years on the planet is Jeff Bezos.

He has built Amazon from nothing to its current market valuation of $US1904 billion.

By contrast, Australia’s GDP was $US1323 billion in 2017.

In other words, Amazon, one company, is 44% bigger than the whole Australian economy. I know it is a bad case of comparing apples and oranges, but nevertheless, perhaps we can learn something from the leadership displayed by Bezos and apply it to the clowns.

Amazon is the creation of one man, so his views on what constitutes leadership should not be dismissed lightly.

Every new employee  is given the list of Amazon leadership principles as a part of their induction, principles that it seems Bezos is deadly serious about upholding.

I thought it might be amusing to apply them to the Federal parliamentarians generally, just to see how they stack up. I have given them a mark out of 10, with some commentary. Feel free to disagree as loudly as you wish.

Customer Obsession. We the voters are their customers, as well as their employers, and I see little evidence of real obsession on delivering value to us. In its place, I see a huge dose of flatulent cliché. 1/10.

Ownership. The essence of this is long term thinking, and not being prepared to sacrifice the long term outcomes for short term results. Long term to the clowns is what they are doing after lunch. 1/10

Invent and simplify. My sides are hurting from laughter. 2/10. (they got the extra point because at least I was amused)

Are right, a lot. They seem to be rarely right, although to be fair, there has been over time some level of good guessing. 3/10.

Learn and be curious. If ever there was evidence that the clowns cannot learn it is the current clown party. Only the clowns think that the electorate will look kindly on the after party mess. 0/10

Hire and develop the best. Some of those preselected by the various parties should not hold office in the local choir. Not because they cannot sing,  but because they are too stupid to realise that is what they are there for. Again, to be fair, quite a lot of them have demonstrated a modest IQ, sufficient to get them through a law degree. Enough said. 2/10.

Insist on the highest standards. I am conflicted with this one, as the standards of stupidity, narcissism, self-delusion, egotistical self-aggrandisement, and the ability to avoid answering any simple question with a simple answer have rarely been equalled. Clearly very high standards indeed, but not what Amazon looks for in leaders. 0/10

Think Big. They often seem to talk big, but the talking seems to be rarely matched by the thinking. However, again to be fair, there has been some evidence of thought, such as thinking the public would not notice their party. 2/10

Bias for action. If this lot were any slower, yesterday would catch up. 1/10

Frugality. They preach frugality, and are fairly successful in imposing it, on most of us who are not their mates, or able to demonstrate some important vested interest to be protected. It also seems they are able to become less frugal at the slightest whiff of electoral discomfort,  when they selectively bring out the porkers. 1/10 for effort.

Earn Trust. How do I give a negative mark in this silly poll? 0/10

Dive Deep. Bezos wants the leaders in Amazon to  be prepared to do anything, to get down in the weeds with their teams and stay connected. Perhaps the clowns just misunderstood and thought he meant our pockets. 5/10 for misdirected effort.

Have backbone; Disagree and Commit. I suspect Paul Keating said it best referring to (I think) John Hewson when he said   ‘he is simply a shiver looking for a spine to run up’. 1/10

Deliver results. It is hard to disagree with results, and Australia has had some truly good results over the last 20 years in comparison with most of the rest of the world. Some credit must be given, although the cynic in me wonders how much was sheer luck, and how good could it have been. 5/10.

Overall, the clowns should be proud, they have excelled at being clowns, although I suspect a few of them are really crying inside this morning.

Update 3.00 pm Aug. 24.

Can somebody please explain to me what just happened.

The Pratfall (the collective noun for a group of clowns, and very appropriate as well) in Canberra just rolled an elected PM, and we all know where that leads. To add to the burden of stupidity, they replaced him as PM with the architect of the now failed company tax changes, and as his deputy, the architect of the NEG, the stone upon which the former PM finally stumbled. While it may be a more likely outcome than Senator Anning becoming the Minister for Immigration, it is a close margin!

The next election will be an absolute rout. Mr. Shorten must be on his knees either thanking whoever he prays to, or splitting his sides laughing, perhaps both! Come May next year he will be leading in the next Pratfall.

 

Convergence of Governance and Marketing in Financial Services

Convergence of Governance and Marketing in Financial Services

The shocking revelations from the Royal Commission continue to flow.

Last week it was NAB’s turn in the hot seat, and they did not fail to add to the building dismay and absolute disgust being felt.

The Governance Institute defines governance as:

Governance encompasses the system by which an organisation is controlled and operates, and the mechanisms by which it, and its people, are held to account. Ethics, risk management, compliance and administration are all elements of governance.

This seems to be an OK definition to me, with the obvious omission of any reference to the customer, the ones who put the money on the table in the first place. I had a quick look on the AICD site, and could not find any sort of definition, which seemed a bit odd.  A google search for ‘marketing governance’ turned up a lot of self-serving fluff and cliché, but not much of value I could see in a quick scan.

Being simplistic, the revelations from the Royal Commission all seem to point to some very poor governance of the marketing function. Perhaps not surprising, as so few seem to have thought constructively about it. (myself included beyond the implications on strategy and resource allocation)

Besides the apparent breaches of the law, certainly breaches of ethical behaviour, and absolute failure of a culture to reflect in any way the promises made by the organisations to their customers, there is clearly no governance of marketing in the Financial Services industry.

If there was, we would not be paying commissions on sales, continuing to extract trailing fees, charging for services not delivered, lying, and even charging dead people for advice.

Effective marketing over the long term relies on ensuring that customers remain customers, that the lifetime value of a customer is not just respected, but revered.

The barriers to exit in Financial services are high, largely because of the low level of financial literacy and the sheer complication in this area. This is made worst by the blizzard of regulatory changes, industry jargon, sheer disinformation, and malevolence  that abounds around a trough the size of the compulsory superannuation money pot.

It may be fine to put barriers to exit in place, customers hate them, but understand the reason, but then to screw customers behind the barriers to exit amidst the fog of disinformation and jargon, is a gross failure of marketing governance.

The responsibility of marketing lies with the representation of the customer inside the business. We talk about customer journeys, then stop at the first sales transaction. Has nobody in Financial Services thought of lifetime customer value, and acted as if they cared?

Here endith the rant!

Header credit: Once again, to Hugh McLeod at gapingvoid.com, who must have seen the Australian Royal Commission coming when he penned this cartoon years ago.  This seemed like the perfect opportunity to use it!

How to develop some of that vital  ‘fingerspitzengefuhl’

How to develop some of that vital  ‘fingerspitzengefuhl’

 

Fingerspitzengefuhl is a German word that translates poorly (I am told, my German is marginal at best) meaning literally ‘finger tip feel’. The real meaning is the intuitive sense that develops in some people with deep domain knowledge, experience and expertise. Somehow, they just know when something ‘feels right’.

In this day of the metrics tsunami, this sense of deep understanding should be easy to find, or at least much easier than it was, but I find in my travels that it actually seems harder to find. Very few seem to have developed it, and those that have seem to effortlessly outplay their competition.

It occurred to  me that this is because the metrics we are trying to untangle only give us half the information.

Why, not what.

They all tell us what happened, that is what algorithms do, they record the events. Very rarely do I see people digging around to find out why they happened. In the ‘old days’ pre-digital, there were few metrics that were easy to come by, so we spent much more time understanding the why something had happened.

Outcomes, not Activities

Our metrics report on all sorts of activities, but do a less effective job of telling us the outcomes of a specific activity, in identifying the real cause and effect chains in place. There are now simply so many options that the causal chains are more obscured than they ever were. However, digging them out is gold, as it enables huge productivity gains in your marketing investments.

Yours and theirs.

Most metrics concentrate on measuring the success, or otherwise, of your own investments, with scant regard paid to understanding the returns your competition is generating from theirs. Commerce is a competitive sometimes Darwinian game, and knowing your opposition better than  they know themselves offers huge competitive rewards. Understanding how they will react to something you do enables you to wrong foot them, catch them off guard, sneak in their back door, and generally knock them around.

None of this comes without effort, it requires deep commitment to understanding, and often breaking with the status quo, but  the rewards are there for the bold. You will develop ‘fiingerspitzengefuhl’ and everyone else will marvel at your insight, and ability to out think and out manoeuvre  your competitors.

For SME’s, ‘fingerspitengefuhl’ is both the source of their competitive advantage and competitive disadvantage. On one hand, they are by their nature much closer to the customers than a larger business, unencumbered by the friction of a bureaucracy, and  therefore have the potential to be more agile and responsive. On the other, they are so busy working to keep the bills paid, without the support mechanisms of a larger business, that they never lift their heads to see what is going on around them.

Need some help? Give me a call.

Header credit: Michelangelo on the ceiling of the Sistine Chapel.