Who gets the blame when the Financial Services Royal Commission is distorted and ignored?

Who gets the blame when the Financial Services Royal Commission is distorted and ignored?

The release of Royal Commissioner Haynes final report into the Financial Services industry has been instructive in many ways.

One that will not get much media coverage is the manner in which the various political and interest bodies respond and reflect on their own part in the mess. By contrast, every person watching the various commentary will immediately come to a conclusion about the trustworthiness of those in whose hands is the commentary on the report, and the formulation and implementation of the means by  which the eggs will be unscrambled.

The refusal of Royal Commissioner Hayne to be a part of the governments spin job by refusing the treasurer a handshake for the cameras is instructive. It could be passed off as a bit rude, the reflection of a personal relationship  that needs some repair, or simply a reflection of Justice Haynes absolute lack of  faith in the goodwill of the Treasurer and the Government.

It would be surprising if it was not the last one.

On being interviewed on the ABC later that night, the Treasurer refused to answer the simple question ‘Was the Government wrong in voting against the establishment of the Royal Commission 26 times?  Followed with the equally simple ‘was it the threat of a backbench revolt that finally led the Government to agree to conduct the Royal Commission?’ 

We live in a complex world, ruled by a voracious appetite for the product of an ‘always on’ media, which has responded not by reporting facts, but  by supplying more shallow, opinionated, uninformed and juicy grist for  the mill.

Added to which politicians of all shades pick and choose selectively the numbers and quotes that reflect their established positions, ignoring anything else that might get in the way of a press release.

It is not the media’s fault, it is ours.

We no longer value truth, facts, and a contrary fact based opinion, although we crave them all.

The outcome is that we assume when a public figures lips are moving, they are either lying or blaming someone else.

The only solution is the implementation of what Ray Dalio would call ‘radical transparency’. 

Photo credit: ABC news

 

Modern Marketing’s dark underbelly.

Modern Marketing’s dark underbelly.

 

On hearing the term ‘Modern Marketing,’ most would immediately imagine something digital.

That was my intention.

Marketing used to be about delivering meaningful information to potential and current customers in order that they become or remain customers, despite the flirtatious approaches of competitors.

The more appealing the information,  the greater the chance of some sort of engagement that might lead at some point to a consummation.

Bit like the University bar in 1970, when I was young(er).

Advertising used to be, and still is a crucial component, however, this is where it has changed.

Advertising in my day used to be the means by which the information was communicated.

In todays marketing, advertising is often the way people are identified, tracked, stalked, and targeted for  offers, sometimes genuine, sometimes outrageous, increasingly fraudulent, and usually unwanted.

This is the dark side of the digital advertising component  of modern marketing.

I have yet to hear anyone complaining that they do not receive sufficient numbers of unsolicited digital offers.  

No wonder we do  not trust anyone or anything anymore.

While it is counter intuitive, limiting your ‘digital reach’ to those who have actively demonstrated they welcome your approach, will become a valuable tactic. By ‘actively demonstrated’, I do  not mean just filled in one landing page email address to access a lead bait, I mean meaningful interaction.

Back to the Uni bar.

There was one rather unprepossessing bloke we all made some fun of, as he would sometimes turn up with a bunch of flowers. His ‘transaction’ rate was impressive indeed, and few of us ever figured out how that was the case until much later.

Perhaps being truly generous with our knowledge rather than demanding an email address in return for some valueless rubbish is the new digital bunch of flowers.

 

The 11 point program for scaling your business.

The 11 point program for scaling your business.

 

Successful scaling of a business is not luck, nor is it just good management, it is way more than both.

It is having the leadership capacity that enable all those in the business to consistently and willingly take action that collectively, over time, compounds into growth greater than that available from just doing what you are doing now a bit better every day.

It takes leadership, because this stuff is hard.

Good managers manage, leaders define what it is that needs to be managed, when, and how.

Over 40 years of working with this challenge, it seems to me there are some common traits amongst those businesses that successfully scale, all originating with the leadership.

None of the following can be taken in isolation. as they all contribute to each other. There is a synergy you need to find that is necessary for scaling, as distinct to improvement.

To scale, you need to change what is done, and how it gets done, rather than just improve the way in which things get done. There is a quantum leap in this seemingly minor semantic difference.

 

Have a genuinely stretch goal

Scaling a business requires change, which is uncomfortable, so there must be a very good, well communicated reason for the discomfort to be imposed, with a specific outcome. Often this is now called a ‘BEHAG’ a term coined by Jim Collins in his book ‘Built to Last”. In it absence, nothing will change. The most obvious example is President Kennedy’s 1962 commitment to land a man on the moon by the end of 1969. You have to find, communicate and commit to your metaphorical ‘man on the moon’ goal.

Underneath the BEHAG there must be a strategic plan, broken down progressively into its tactical components in order to deliver the goal.

 

Alignment.

A much used and abused word, but absolutely necessary.  Every person, and every persons activity has to contribute meaningfully to the strategies in place to deliver the objectives, irrespective of the time frame of those objectives.  Without some sort of overriding objective towards which every person and activity can be looking, the outcomes will be suboptimal.

The metaphor I always use to describe alignment is that of a rowing eight, training towards a major championship, for example the Olympics. Every training session, every activity of each of the eight who will be in the shell, as well as their support staff, needs to be looking towards that goal of winning that medal. Everything that is done needs to be judged by the simple criteria of ‘will this add to winning that medal’?

 

Strategic Ambidexterity.

Let me explain this idea of strategic ambidexterity.  Every small action taken has to be a part of a larger action that builds into the scaled outcome. Any individual is easily distracted in their daily lives by the urgent but not important things that arise. Allowing those distractions to consume time takes away from the objective of scaling. Therefore, the focus of every person has to be on the one thing today, tomorrow, this week, month, quarter, and so on that has to be achieved in order to achieve the scaled target.

If you were to set out to run a marathon under 4 hours, you would  not just start trying to run the 42km from day one, you would fail. You would break your training down into pieces, each one building on the last towards the objective. You would have a range of daily sessions, building into weekly and monthly targets that would eventually result in the successful completion of the marathon. It takes time, dedication, and a dual focus in getting every small step completed sequentially, while recognising that each one builds progressively towards the objective.

Engaging your supply chain partners and customers in the process adds to the power of the process. It is like having specialised trainers and suppliers of equipment contributing to your overall program. As success builds, you will find that they want to come on board, as everyone wants to be part of a winning team, which further builds momentum.

 

Operational rhythm.

Every activity and set of activities can be managed to have some sort of operating rhythm. In most cases it is unrecognised and unmanaged, so is not optimised. The most obvious example is the annual budget setting process most businesses go through. This normally happens in some sort of regular order and manner, to some sort of timetable. It is also in most cases I have observed, an addition to the routine set of activities, and is therefore an imposition rather than being a key part of the business management and development process. Similarly, the process to turn an order into product will follow some sort of routine that follows roughly the same set of steps every time. However, in every case, without an explicit and transparent process that has performance measures and associated management in place, the process will inevitably ‘wander’ being subject to change for many reasons. Process stability, noted below is essential for a predictable and consistent operational rhythm.

 

Accountability.

Ensuring clarity of accountability  for an activity, item, and process is essential to performance that can be measured and improved. Without accountability, a problem will always be someone else’s problem. Accountability, responsibility and authority often become entangled in ways that leave the improvement and scaling of any set of activities challenging.

Accountability means that someone is specifically held accountable for the activity or set of activities. That person is accountable to track the progress of the activity, process, function, whatever it may be, and give it a ‘voice’. If you cannot nominate one person who is specifically accountable, it will fall through the cracks. Responsibility falls on anyone who has the ability and opportunity to respond to proactively support an activity or process. Anyone who ‘touches’ a process has some responsibility. Authority belongs to the person with the final veto power.

For example, in a previous life as GM of a large organisation, I had authority over the expenditure of marketing budgets, product managers had accountability for  the specific activities that took place in their brand portfolios, and we all had responsibility to ensure that the customers who bought our products were serviced in a manner that had them coming back for more. 

The question ‘how can I be held responsible without the authority’ is often asked. The answer is that ‘it depends’. Everyone has the responsibility to manage their own activities on a daily basis, and be held accountable for the outcomes, but as you move up a corporate ladder, it becomes increasingly challenging to maintain the link. The more senior you are the more you will be held accountable for things over which you have less and less direct control. That direct control is held at lower levels in the organisation.

The key to making this all work is to thoughtfully and consistently delegate. This requires that you pinpoint the job to be done, have a system of interlinking KPI’s, and that there is explicit and transparent performance feedback and management of both the process and those held accountable for the components of the process.  

 

Stakeholder engagement.

All stakeholders, and most critically, employees need to be ‘engaged’ in the objective of scaling a business. To go back to the metaphor of the rowing eight, if one oarsman is not concentrating, and is therefore slightly out of rhythm, the performance of the eight will be critically compromised. That out of rhythm may be created by the training regime of the individual, the maintenance of the oar, and many other specific sources that together add up to the sub optimum performance of the eight when engaged in the race.

 

Clear, unambiguous and valuable personal purpose.

Again to refer to the rowing eight. Every member of  the crew and support staff know the purpose is to compete in the Olympics, and to do everything possible to win. To every person, the goal of winning is a personal one, as well as one that motivates and directs the team, and to every person, the goal provides a deeply personal objective upon which they can focus all their efforts and emotion.

It is no different setting out to scale a business. If the employees see the objective of scaling as being one that will enrich the proprietors  and shareholders without  anything in it for them, why bother. The purpose has to be one with a ‘higher calling’ that delivers something very personal for everyone.

 

Performance transparency.

No improvement project, let alone one that requires scaling can be successful without a roadmap provided by performance measures to show progress, identify weak spots, and offer alternative perspectives.  The greater the level of transparency the better able will the whole team be able to buy into the program.

Performance transparency  has a number of faces. It covers individual, team, and corporate performance measures, from the perspective of both the internal KPI’s and the external ones that will impact on the manner in which the enterprise competes. These external KPI’s are those factors that impact performance, but over which the enterprise has no control other than being aware and able to accommodate and when possible leverage them.

 

Process Scalability.

It is a fact that as enterprises become bigger, the degree of complexity increases as the number of people, teams, functions that require co-ordination and alignment grows. With size comes complexity. The essence of a scalable management infrastructure is simplicity and conquering complexity is a challenge of leadership as well as the management of the processes themselves.

The tool that works best in my experience is to document all processes. This enables the process to be applied consistently irrespective of the person working it, and is the basis for  improvement, without a starting point that is stable, no process can be improved.

 

Marketing.

Everyone is in marketing. From the CEO to the lowest level support staff, everyone has a responsibility to be an apostle for the business. Word of mouth, personal recommendation, whether it be by clients referring you to prospects, or your employees telling their friends what a great place it is to work, remains the most effective form of marketing. All that comes after is in one way or another a scaled version of that first person marketing.

Scaling marketing is not a matter of posting some cat photos on Facebook. It is a disciplined process of communicating your value proposition progressively to those most likely to be future customers, and retaining those you already have. It is very easy to blow huge resources under the banner of ‘marketing,’ but like all things worth doing, it is not as easy as it sometimes seems, requiring clarity of the value proposition, an ideal customer persona to be served, and a product and service mix that is both differentiated and valuable to customers.

As marketing is exercised externally,  the potential for misdirection and complication is significant, so focussing attention on the productivity of marketing expenditures is a key to being able to successfully scale.

 

Cash.

Growth, let alone scaled growth, are voracious consumers of cash. Proactively managing your cash resources is essential. From time to time borrowing may be necessary, but when it becomes necessary to keep the day to day activities going, you have over-reached, and quick remedial action s necessary.

 

Without wishing to belabour the point made in the intro, the absolutely essential ingredient is leadership, without which scaling will not be possible.

Which 5 capabilities enable a leader to successfully scale

Which 5 capabilities enable a leader to successfully scale

Virtually every business I come across wants to grow.

A few I come across want to, and are able to scale.

Scaling is different from just growing, it requires much more than being better at what you currently do. It requires significant change, invites risk, and for many is very unsettling personally.

The few that have scaled successfully all have in place a leadership that seems to have a few common characteristics, always in an individual, who is able to shape the organisation in ways that reflect the hunger to be different in ways that adds serious value to customers, and to scale as a result.

They create a vision that excites and engages those around them.

They are able to translate that vision into a clear strategy that provides a transparent framework for decision making, ensuring what not to do is as important as what to do.

They build the capabilities of those around them to enable the execution of the strategy.

They focus relentlessly on one thing at a time, and measure results that connect the outcomes to the strategy, daily, weekly, quarterly, bi-annually, and longer term.

They are good people. This seems counter to the public persona of the driving successful business person who scales a business successfully, but most I have seen who are the genuine leaders of a successful scaling, are also successful people in other ways.

When you want to see if your business has what it takes, give me a call.

Photo credit: Roberto Robitz via Flikr

 

 

 

Is AI going to take our jobs?

Is AI going to take our jobs?

Some of them yes.

Those repetitive jobs where we do the same thing over and over, will be gone.

Let’s be clear about AI. It is artificial, it is not intelligent.

AI is very good at some things  we humans are bad at, but it is no good at what made we humans so successful.  The imagination, and emotion, the capacity to empathise,  and understand complexity we are born with is not artificial, and cannot be replicated by machines, at least not in the foreseeable future.

Machines can do things  faster and more reliably than us, and they do not go on smoko, no holidays, hangovers or emotional attachments to fellow workers.

Machines are fast and reliable, and fast and reliable is a huge benefit.

Machines are also very accurate, tell them what to do, they do it. Again, something we humans are not so good at, we tend to vary things around, sometimes just to relieve the boredom.

Machines do the routine, mind numbing tasks that we put aside, or do poorly. They do not have a mind, so they do not mind being bored.

Al is maths, not magic. All AI is statistics and maths that can be broken down into algorithms so they are repeatable. Machine learning is the next step on the ladder, where the algorithms learn to recognise patterns. This takes trial and error, so that eventually, the machine can isolate common characteristics in a pile of data.

This is becoming more common every day, as we see uses for pattern recognition.

Both Google and Amazon have products you can download and use that deliver astonishing accuracy in pattern recognition. An occasional client has introduced this feature on his remote cameras, so they can now distinguish between a kangaroo and a truck, triggering a response from alarm connected to the camera, so the truck, potentially an intruder sets the alarm, the kangaroo which is more likely just hungry, is ignored.

The next step is usually called ‘Deep learning,’ and we are just at the beginning of this. It is in effect layers of machine learning interacting to identify from a broader and deeper pool of input data the item of interest. We will progress down this track, and at the end, in another 50 years, perhaps machines may be able to ‘sort of’, think.

This stuff all has the potential to make us seem smarter, but we are not, we are just using machines to do what they are good at, while we still do the stuff we are good at, empathy, judgement, relationships.

Over history, technology has created more jobs than it has destroyed. While it will be painful for some, there is no reason to believe the pattern will not continue. Irrespective of the size and type of organisation you belong to, AI is knocking on the door. Open it, realise the productivity benefits, and figure out how to best use it to serve others, and make a buck along the way.

Addendum April 2023. This post was over 4 years old when ChatGPT burst onto the scene, taking the world on a wild ride. In a post in December 2022 I asked essentially the same question, ‘Will HAL’ take our jobs? https://wp.me/p5fjXq-31n and arrived at the same answer. However, the gap of only 4 years has seen the development of the technology referred to above evolve at warp speed, culminating in ChatGPT3.

 

 

Future retail success will come from ‘Organic Intelligence’

Future retail success will come from ‘Organic Intelligence’

 

There is some really interesting and contradictory stuff going on in retail.

On line shopping is continuing to expand at breakneck speed, so we are told. According to Statista.com the current percentage in Australia is 7.2%, but the percentage varies enormously from very little to an astonishing (estimated)  19% in China.

Small brands are being created, that rapidly become big brands, such as Shoes of Prey, that would not have been able to get off the ground pre internet, and bricks and mortar retail is struggling, going out of business at a rapid rate.

The latest casualty is Sears, the ‘Amazon’ of a former era, started in 1886 by Richard Sears, selling watches on the side of his day job as a railroad station manager. After the first catalogue was produced in 1896, to bring access to goods to the widely spread American population, Sears expanded geometrically. It was an entirely mail order operation, ‘analogue on line’ until the first store bricks and mortar store opened in 1925 adjacent to the distribution centre. The  following rapid spread of stores, saw the end of ‘Mum and Pop’ stores around the country, who could not compete with the range or prices that Sears offered.

Sound familiar?

Sears became a huge diversified business, accumulating a huge property portfolio as well as associated businesses and brands they owned, but it started to unravel in the mid 90’s, just as ‘Big Box’ retailers moved in, and the net evolved as an alternative channel.

Now we have Apple and Amazon investing billions in bricks and mortar stores, re-imagining them, but they are still bricks and mortar, and they are profoundly successful.  Apple, on a sales per square foot basis, the standard retail KPI, is the most successful retailer in the world. Amazon effectively acquired Whole foods for nothing, paying $US13.6 Billion for the chain, then seeing the share price rise in the following days by more than that amount on the back of the purchase. While Whole Foods is yet to make the expected profits, it is early days. On top of that you have Amazon bookstores and Amazon Go carving out a niche.

When the two most innovative and successful  retailers in the world double down on a business model, it might be worth a close look, and when it resembles an older model, but is clearly superior, that examination should be very thoughtful indeed.

The factor that has driven the success of Amazon, and all other on line retail, is Artificial Intelligence. The ability to write code that can trawl through mountains of data, identify patterns, and alter the output as a result of that recognition. They get better with use, but within the boundaries of the algorithms.  The factor that made Sears, and all other analogue retailers successful over the years, and has taken Apple to new heights, is the opposite side of the coin.

Organic Intelligence.

That ability of human beings to exercise empathy, and make connections an algorithm cannot yet make, and perhaps never will.

Apple and Amazon are learning to use both together,  and are streaking ahead as a result. Meanwhile, those legacy retailers who have not figured out AI are struggling, and more often than not, reducing their investments in Organic Intelligence as a short term means to reduce costs, so assisting in their own demise, as did Sears.

I wonder of any of the legacy retailers in this country will still be around in a decade?. To me it looks like the only one in the FMCG market that has demonstrated an understanding of the power of Organic Intelligence is Harris Farm.