Apr 27, 2022 | Leadership, Management, Marketing, Small business
The inflation figures released this morning put the annualised inflation rate at 5.1%, up from 3.5% at the end of the December quarter last year. While it may bounce around given the volatility of fuel and food prices, the trend is very clear, and the current election driven lucky dip of spending promises will not help. This increase in a single quarter is the largest I can remember since the mid eighties.
Australia is in for a rocky ride, and it will not matter who wins on May 21, the impact will be felt in every corner of the economy, and by every Australian.
For SME’s who have weathered the challenges of covid and are now experiencing the added burdens of broken supply chains, and lack of labour, while trying to re-establish some level of certainty in their businesses in an environment where demand has ramped up, the prospects are daunting.
Irrespective of the decision made by the Reserve next Tuesday, to raise the cash rate from the current 0.1% to 0.4% or 0.5% which seem to be the prediction of the majority of economists, the squeeze is on. Raising the rate during an election campaign will test the independence of the reserve bank. I bet there are some phone calls being made!
How will this impact your business?
Those impacts will vary enormously depending on the industry circumstances. The rate that gets all the attention is a weighted average, with the actual sector numbers varying from a slight reduction in communication costs, to a 13.7% increase for transport costs.
- Labour costs will soar, as the demand for labour continues to grow, while immigration is still constricted, and the cost of living blows out.
- Transport costs, which most just see in the petrol prices at the local station, which impact everything that moves in the economy will quickly feed into cost of goods sold in every product category.
- Businesses will see a sudden increase in their accounts receivable days, their cash conversion cycles will become longer.
- There will be pressure on margins from multiple fronts. Volumes will be constrained as supply chain failures impact, and competitors scrambling for volume will be more likely to reduce prices to grab that extra sale. At the same time, costs are increasing, and price increases will be harder to get, as buyers exercise their buying power and shop around.
- You will be pressured by your suppliers for quick payments, as they are being squeezed for margin, just as you are.
- General overheads will increase. We have seen significant increases in lease costs for small factory spaces, insurance costs will be turbo-charged after the floods, fires, and pestilence of the last 2 years, down to the little things like costs of coffee for the lunchroom. All these individually manageable cost increases cumulatively add up to substantial and hard to control increases.
So, what should the SME’s that wish to remain successful be doing?
- Customers shopping around for a deal in greater numbers can present an opportunity for those who understand the drivers of Value for customers in their specific market.
- Resist the temptation to cut marketing and selling expenses. History demonstrates with absolute certainty that those that keep marketing when their competitors shut down in tough times not only do better during the tough times but retain their positions after the worm has turned. Optimising your marketing expenditure is not the same as cutting it.
- Actively engage employees and stakeholders in ways to maintain profitability. This should always be a priority, but is more pressing and visible in tough times.
- Focus on the 10 tactics outlined in the Inflation Busting Roadmap published previously
- Consider from the perspective of necessity the five types of cost in your business, with particular attention being given to the last three, as that is usually where the opportunities hide.
Many have not experienced a spurt of inflation before, the last serious spurt was in the mid-eighties while Paul Keating was treasurer. In management terms, this was over a generation ago. If the experience of those times would be of benefit, give me a call.
The header graph is from the ABS website updated as the announcement of the scary 5.1% heqadline inflation rate was announced.
Apr 13, 2022 | Leadership, Management
Asking questions is the best way to build empathy, while collecting information and helping others reach a conclusion. This assumes that you are listening closely and reacting appropriately to the answers.
It follows that being disciplined and planned in the manner in which you ask questions, all of which are context sensitive, is essential.
It makes little difference if you are engaging in a sales process, or seeking information from the factory floor, planning your questions, and using the right form at the right time drives the outcome.
There are six types of question, they overlap, intersect, and build on one another, and each has a situation where they deliver the best results. Whichever question types you use in any situation, always remember that asking with a genuine interest in the answer will deliver better results than if those being questioned see it as a proforma. Asking such pro forma questions demonstrates you are not interested in the answers, or alternatively, are laying some sort of trap for them to fall into.
Closed questions. These do not invite discussion or opinion, just a ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ answer. They can often feel like an interrogation, particularly if there are several in a row.
Open ended questions. These encourage discussion, opinion, and maximise the opportunity for new or unexpected information to enter the conversation.
Limiting questions. These fall between the open and closed questions. You want more than a simple Yes or No, but also want to limit the discussion to a specific area. For example, you might ask: How often…. Or: What were the operating conditions when……..
Leading questions. A leading question is designed to give you the predetermined answer you are seeking. Generally, they are used to confirm a fact or situation, which may have been surfaced with an open or limiting question. Lawyers use leading questions as a core tactic often seeking inconsistencies in a narrative. For example. You might ask: How overdue was the maintenance when the machine crashed? In this case, you are assuming the maintenance was in fact overdue, and that oversight caused the machine to crash.
Questions seeking examples. Discussing an example is a good way of clarifying a situation, while collecting information. It also is a handy tool if you do not understand something, asking for an example will usually clarify it.
Theme based questions. These would usually be used to influence or reinforce a theme. For example, the best way to ensure that everyone in a business understands the overall objective is to consistently communicate that objective. You then might ask of a stakeholder how their job contributes to the achievement of the overall objective, and then an open and productive conversation that leads to greater understanding and productivity.
There is an old saying: ‘We have two ears and one mouth for a reason’. Remember it.
Apr 8, 2022 | Leadership, Management
Culture as defined by Michael Porter is ‘The way we do things around here.’ Those words imply ‘Local.’ Immediate. In the vicinity.
I have seen differing cultures exist in the one business in separate locations. When most commentators refer to ‘Corporate culture’ it implies that it is across the whole enterprise, and often it is. However, local leadership, established practices and the history of that particular unit can also result in a culture that bears no relationship to the corporate version beyond the fine words on the foyer wall.
So, what are the building blocks of a successful culture?
It seems to me that you have four headline characteristics, many with behaviours that grouped together make up the headline.
Respectful.
Respect is a very general word, open to different definitions in differing contexts. In this context, to me it means that every stakeholder has the right to be given, and be expected to give, respect to others. To be given consideration, have common courtesy extended, and be treated with dignity, irrespective of the role in the organisation they occupy. The part time casual cleaner has as much right to be respected for the job they do as does the CEO.
Inclusive.
Enterprises are similar to natural eco-systems. They thrive on diversity, and conversely, underperform as a monoculture.
This means that all sorts of diversity is welcomed and absorbed into the enterprise, each playing a role in building a robust and resilient system. It has little to do with the current blathering about gender equality, although that is a part of it. Diversity is encouraged by the presence of ideas that emerge from diverse backgrounds, life experiences, education in its broadest sense, acceptance of difference. These differences may be racial, sexual, physical, and every other ‘difference’ you will find in a population. Including them in an enterprise provides the opportunity for superior outcomes.
Ethical.
Ethical behaviour implies honesty, integrity, and accountability coupled with regulatory compliance, as well as the acknowledgement of the place ‘common sense’ should have. I considered using the word ‘Integrity’ to describe the characteristics of successful cultures I have seen, and it still holds that personal integrity must be present, but that is the point, integrity is a more personal word than ‘ethical.’
Safe.
By ‘safe’ I do not mean just physically safe, as in not being assaulted at work. ‘Safety’ is a much wider concept than that when applied to an enterprise. It means an individual is psychologically safe to be themselves, to express an opinion, and not be one of the crowd. This requires an expectation of transparency, accountability, up, down, and across an enterprise.
To be safe, you are also safe from bullying, the political ‘backstabbing’ that often occurs, and ruthless competition that has flexible boundaries not always equally evident to all.
The size of the organisation does not matter. Whenever you have more than one person present on a continuing basis, there will be modes of behaviour that can be called ‘Culture’.
Should you be inclined, you could take the converse of these points, and when you see them, they represent the symptoms of a failing culture.
Feb 28, 2022 | Leadership, Management, Strategy
History is littered with examples that convincingly make the case that a battle on two fronts can never be won.
Our business literature is similarly littered with examples of business failure brought on by the competing demands of too many markets calling on a common set of resources. The metaphor of war is routinely used in business literature, I have used it myself many times. Phrases like ‘the high ground’, ‘resource mobilisation and concentration’, ‘overwhelming force” and so on.
How odd then to find myself saying that success absolutely relies on being effective on two fronts at the same time.
Those fronts are not different enemies, or geographic locations, distribution channels, customer groups, or any of the other regularly used differentiators, but they can be all of them.
The two fronts are ‘attack’ and ‘defence’.
The disciplines used to assemble and deploy scarce resources to take advantage of opportunities, look for new products, and outflank the opposition whilst defending your home ground are common to all situations.
Resources are limited, opportunities to use them are not.
How many successful football teams have you seen that cannot both attack and defend? The really good ones swing from one to the other, and back again seamlessly, without a loss of position or momentum. Each player knowing their role in any given situation, understanding how that role contributes to the overall outcome of the play in progress, and ultimately to the score at the end of the game.
The best I have seen at this in recent times is the Melbourne Storm rugby league team. Irrespective of personnel on the field, every player knows his role in both attack and defence, and swings seamlessly between them in concert with every other player on the field.
It is the same in commercial life.
The imperative to grow also means that the home base, the source of the cash today, is effectively defended even as it evolves to deliver cash tomorrow.
I am constantly reminded of Charles Darwin’s observation that ‘it is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, it is the one most adaptable to change’
How good is your organisation in this tug of war operating on two fronts?
Feb 21, 2022 | Governance, Management
Not all accountants are created equal, and not all do the same job.
All businesses have two types of information required, for which they need three types of accounting functionality.
There is the regulatory and compliance accounting, which can be a simple as the quarterly GST return for a small enterprise, to hugely complex set of statutory accounts for a public company, particularly when it operates in several jurisdictions.
Then there is the management accounting, the numbers used to manage the business on a daily, monthly, and annual basis. These are entirely different tasks, although use common data sources, the ledgers that record activity, and various devices and processes to collect the data for recording.
After making that distinction between compliance and management accounting, assembly of the range of skills necessary to deliver the outcomes is often overlooked.
Data assembly.
You need people to assemble and reconcile the data. These can be less qualified and experienced people, and the processes of collection and initial recording are increasingly being automated. Nevertheless, the processes that track and capture the numbers are vitally important to be proactively created, maintained, and improved. The rigor of the collection and ‘cleaning’ of data will determine the confidence that later processes can have in their numbers.
Accounting compliance.
Failure to follow the rules can result in legally enforceable penalties. Therefore, compliance is of critical importance for external stakeholders, but is largely irrelevant to the management of the business, for which an entirely different suite of skills is needed.
Analysis and presentation.
This is where accounting meets marketing. Either of the two by themselves will tell only a small part of the story. List the numbers and people will ignore them, or be asleep, no matter how important the words. Just use story and metaphor without the foundation of numbers, and you will be dismissed as a typical marketing person, fluffy and unreliable. It is a case of one plus one equals three. If you do not get this combination right, there will be suboptimal outcomes as the wrong decisions will be taken, opportunities missed, and resources misallocated. This third skill requires both the numeracy of the accountant, and future telling ability of the seer. An unusual and often derided individual.
In my case, my friends who are accountants run for the hills when I remind them, that I am in fact, one of them. Meanwhile, many marketers, particularly those under forty, think I am some sort of marketing troglodyte because I do not believe everything in marketing begins and ends with a digital solution.
As Peter Drucker pointed out all those years ago, “the purpose of a business is to create a customer“. The reason you do that is obvious: to generate revenue, from which you make a profit assuming the business is well managed.
Understanding and leveraging the means by which all the marketing jargon is converted into cash, is the core of a successful marketing function in any business. There are thousands of things every business can do without, and still function, the one thing no business on earth can function without is cash.
Therefore, marketing is about cash generation, short, medium, and long term, future tense. Accounting is about counting how much cash there is, where it came from, and where it went, past tense.
One without the other is suboptimal. When you find both in one person, do not let them go.
Feb 16, 2022 | Management, Small business
Do you ever struggle to do something you know how to do, and should be easy, at least that is the way it seems, but never get past the first hurdle.
I do. Disturbingly often.
For some years I have toyed with writing a book, becoming one of those liberated by the web to publish and perhaps generate a return from what I know, the experience I have gathered in a long commercial life.
There are several started lying around, rough drafts, notes, chapter outlines, all the stuff I know I have to do to complete something that may be of value.
I have written 2 or three blog posts every week for many years. I collect lots of ideas, stories, and metaphors from clients, reading, and just rubbing my belly thinking about stuff.
How hard could it be to pull all that together in a book?
Very hard it seems, even when pushed by some of those who know me well.
If I was my own consultant, there would be some tough love and bum-kicking going on.
Like any project, there are a small number of key questions to be asked, and answered which provides a framework for the task, then some logical steps to be taken.
Key questions:
- Who is it for? The core marketing question, who is it that you want to reach and influence to do what? In the absence of a clear answer, the result will be, at best, muddled. Luckily, I know exactly who I should be writing for.
- Why should they care? If you expect people to spend money to buy the thing, then invest the time to read it, there had better be a good reason that they should, and that needs to be convincingly communicated. Again, 25 years of contracting and consulting have given me a pretty good idea of the sort of knowledge and experience I can deliver that will increase the commercial sustainability of the SME manufacturers who are my ‘sweet spot’.
Logical steps:
- Nail the title, and subtitle. The title is in effect the headline for the book ad. It needs to convey in a few words the objective and drama of the book, provide a ‘hook’ for the intended reader. For the writer, it is the equivalent of the strategic purpose, the question to be asked continuously through the whole book ‘is this taking is closer to the objective?”
- Write the back cover. This should be the distilled sales pitch to those you want to reach. Often you will see this as an introduction, which to my mind is wasting the reader’s attention when it is the most curious, right at the beginning. Explain the value to be gained from reading the book, and how will they use this new knowledge? Ideally, this can be written by a third party, someone with real street cred, so it sounds less like self-promotion. I do not really know many people in the category. The one who would have been ideal, my original and great mentor Harvard professor James Hagler, has been sadly gone for some years.
- Write the Chapter list. This is the skeleton of the book, the bones from which everything hangs. A few sentences that specifically articulate what knowledge will be imparted in each chapter acts as an anchor around which the words and stores can be built. This requires creative thought, as most people will read the chapter list before buying the book, so the more interesting, differentiated, and engaging the better.
- Write the draft, of at least 1 or 2 chapters, They will be awful, discouraging, but out if it will come the ‘voice’ that you want to use for your audience, and the structure of the chapters. One person I know wrote their whole book as draft, it worked for him, but the added work after the draft completion to redraft the whole thing when he recognised it was rubbish was almost the end.
- Edit, edit and re-edit. Then get someone else outside to have a shot. Better if the outsider is on side from the beginning and giving the bad news progressively so you can improve as you go, rather than all at once when the draft you have is in your mind, complete. It is hard to kill off those parts into which you have poured your sweat after the words have dried too hard on the page, and in your mind.
- Marketing. Then there is the marketing and operational stuff of necessary to get it out there. Worrying about that too soon is just distracting, plenty of time at the end, and plenty of advice and options around on the best way forward. However, if you are writing the book to make money from the sales, it is entirely different to the situation where you are writing it for credibility, leading to consulting assignments, and perhaps speaking gigs. These two objectives for the book require entirely different marketing strategies.
- Do it, now. Stop thinking about it, and take action. Now.
Note to self: Read the blog, and take action as advised!
