14 Marketing Trends for 2014

crystal ball

It may be a bit later in January than most blog posts prognosticating about the coming year, but at least they are different from the pack, so here goes..

  • Simple is the new complicated.  All the conversations about social media, analytics, fragmentation of just about everything, we are bombarded with messages, options, and imperatives. Amid all this, marketing is at work, and the stuff that works is simple, cut through ideas. David Ogilvy had a bunch of “Olgivyisms”, one of which was , “big ideas are usually simple ideas”. This still holds true, it is just the big ideas have to cut through more fluff and interference than in Ogilvy’s day, and there is more confusing analytics and alternatives to be considered.

 

  • Simplicity facilitated by new tools. Tools to leverage the capabilities of the web have been getting simpler by the month. It will reach the point where those with absolutely no computer kills at all can participate. WordPress has made building a web presence pretty easy, but now  the new generation of similar tools like  Weebly, take that a further step. The 40% of SME’s who have no web  presence beyond a facebook page set up by their children, has passed, they no longer have an excuse.

 

  • Reach and frequency is dead. This was the mantra of paid  advertising for most  of my long career, you paid for both in a matrix that focused on a demographic,   “women 25-40 with children” or “working women earning over  50k” and so on. Before behavior based analytics with any more  accuracy than a big U&A study, it was the best we could do, but it was pretty crap. Now with every man, his friends, and parents on facebook  LinkedIn, Pinterest, et al, reach and  frequency have a different sound. The enormous penetration of social media      and the opportunity for behavioral analytics have changed the dynamics of advertising, and advertisers have raced to the new platforms, without      recognising that the existence of the platform, free, and ubiquitous, has changed the rules entirely.

 

  • Banner advertising on the web is also dead. Web banners simply do not work in the way a banner on the corner of your street did. They do not  grab attention, and convey a message, they are simply in the way.  Look  no further than the huge drop in rates from a decade ago when they were touted to be the next advertising El Dorado. I am not surprised, simple supply and demand economics would indicate that when supply is infinite, the price at which demand can be met is  close to zero. However, there is a caveat. The IPO of facebook in 2012, and Twitter in November 13, based on revenue projections that demand banner ads remain revenue generators is forcing some pretty smart people to consider how to make them sufficiently relevant to continue to attract revenue, and they may just crack the code.

 

  • Values matter, more than ever. The temptation is to “pimp” your products and services at every opportunity. LinkedIn forums are full of new “discussions”, which are just pimping a product, very few get opened, they certainly rarely create an discussion, and are one step away from Spam. If you are gong to spend your resources,  money, time, talent, on marketing, make it count, tell people  “why”. Steve Jobs articulated this very well when launching the now famous “Think Different” ad to Apple employees.

 

  • Content is serious business. Content is not just a word, it is a consumer of considerable marketing resources, and the capability  of creative content creation to build a brand is evolving at a rapid rate. In the past, I  have wondered at the capacity of the web as a brand building device, giving it top marks as a medium of delivery, but I could not think of a brand that had been built by the net. Now it seems, that Red Bull will get a guernsey. Their web presence is exceptional, huge resources are put into creating the positioning as extreme sports in all sorts of amazing  ways. This best of 2013 post on Digiday has some great      marketing, including Red Bull, and this terrific story of an old Nissan Maxima . The new year will see great strides in video      brand building, the pace of creative change, and the socialization of the change, as demonstrated by the Maxima example, will continue to accelerate.  In 2014, the “Social” component, promising businesses interacting with their markets for free, will be overtaken by the “media” part of the social media equations, as to be noticed  bucks will have to be spent. There will  be the off the wall hits, but the average cost of being seen will go up substantially. Content creation without any content marketing and compelling reason why a consumer should even look at it let alone give it any consideration will rapidly become almost useless.  Your content is competing in a highly competitive and fragmented market for a share of consumers limited attention, and the old rules of marketing apply.

 

  • Environmental” research. This is not tree-hugging,  it is my term for standing back and forming a view of the context in which your customers and markets live, what is changing that will alter their lives, and how can you leverage those changes by innovating in the manner  in which you serve them. Now more than ever, this is a skill required, as there is simply so much data and information around, it is easier than  ever to drown in the detail without understanding the context. For example, in my view, 3-D printing is an emerging disruption, not just  to manufacturing but across industries that are in any way engaged with selling “things” rather than  services. Forming some views on how this may impact on you, and your value  chains, and taking steps to build the capabilities that will become necessary to survive and prosper is as important as breathing.

 

  •  Data accumulation and “personal  leveraging”  Word of mouth has always been the best marketing tool available, now the continuing development of social media  platforms and marketing automation, the  opportunity to be  “personal” is increasing with every day that passes. In  conjunction with this is the building of lists, contacts with whom you have the opportunity to build a relationship.

 

  • Every person is a potential media channel. Just consider the capability to connect to facebook, LinkedIn, and the rest, and send  information, ideas, links, referrals, to everyone in their networks. Media channels used to be a few radio, TV, newspaper and magazine channels, they were all one way, the “stuff” got pushed out and the opportunity to respond was limited to letters to the editor. No longer!

 

  • Personal Kaizen.  Kaizen is Japanese word for “continuous improvement” extensively used in lean literature.  Lean is more than just an operational strategy, it is one for every facet of  your life and business. Every time you do something, strive to do it better, by being smarter, than the time before. Being serious about personal kaizen makes you curious, interested, and interesting, qualities that attract opportunity.

 

  • Craftsmanship. In a world of increasing homogeneity delivered by specification driven design and manufacturing, where differences are often just cosmetic and qualitative, genuine craftsmanship, bespoke design, and catering to the individuality of people is increasingly important. The extent to which craftsmanship and “manufacturing” beyond the C20 concepts of mass manufacturing for operational  efficiency can become integrated is just starting to evolve.  There are many examples, one I am personally familiar with is Ian berry who is Ironsides leather. Ian crafts leather, belts, harness, bags, using just the old tools of the trade, experience, true skill, and passion. It is true craftsmanship, and buying a belt from him is receiving a gift of that experience and craftsmanship. Ian is also a great advertisement for  the point above about simplicity. He produced his website using a Weebly template, a   few photos, and a bit of time, no cost. No HTML, no complex menus, no computer skills beyond a one finger  familiarity with a keyboard.

 

  • Marketing and technology will continue to collide. The days of marketing being unaccountable are over,  there is no excuse for not  calculating the ROI of your marketing investments these days.Scott Brinkers blog on the intersection of technology and marketing is a terrific resource, his thinking on this is in front of the pack, and allied with Avinash Kaushik’s wonderful Occam’s Razor blog, there is enough brain food to keep most of us fed on the topic.

 

  • Collaborative marketplaces will continue to rise and rise. The web 2.0 enabled one way markets to thrive,      Amazon, Ebay, electronic banking, and many others. More recently,  collaborative marketplaces have emerged, where both sides of the transaction put something in, rather than just buying a product. Airbnb, Uber, and many others, will continue to explode, mainstream companies in areas      threatened will need to consider how they respond. Car hire companies need to have a service, to disrupt themselves, hotel chains need an equivalent to Airbnb, and so on, the disruption is profound, and just beginning.  The best thinking around in this is being done by Jeremiah Owyang, whose body of work on the topic is extraordinary

 

  • Mobile  first.  Use of mobile devices to access websites and social media platforms continues to increase, reaching numbers in late      2013 upward of 65%, and reaching the eighties for some specific sites, numbers that astonish even the bullish predictions of a year ago. In developing countries, where the economies  are booming, and fixed line infrastructure is limited, mobile and wireless have simply jumped ahead, and the infrastructure of the developed world      will simply not be installed. It is these ocuntries that are driving      mobile innovation.

Tell me what you think, please, and have a great 2014.

2014, better or different

different

Its the  new year, 2014, January 6 to be exact, and I have been ruminating on the “List” every blogger accumulates and publishes early in January in the hope that they get noticed, and build some momentum for the year.

All the research tells us that headlines that include a list,  like “top 10” and “5 things to…” get opened more than their non-list competitors, so that is what most seem to use, understandably. Being opened is the first hurdle, and a list helps with that,  but the following wished for outcomes, being relevant, shared, and useful are just as challenging, and lists do not necessarily help.

Contemplating my list, trying to articulate the things I see happening that may influence our commercial choices in 2014, I saw a common thread. Everything I was contemplating sprang from the opportunities opening by being different, new, or looking at a common challenge from a new perspective. This seemed to hold equally when contemplating new products and technologies, emerging services, and new business models.

It seemed to me that the thread was that the real advantages and advances in 2014 will not come from doing the same things better, but by doing different things.

How different are you planning to be? what is on your agenda that is genuinely new, rather than just a rehash of something old but perhaps proven? how are you going to stand out in an increasingly homogeneous world?

 

The “Santa” brand.

santa is dead
It is Christmas day, my adult children are off doing stuff, my wife is working for the man, so I am left with my thoughts, the prospect of a late, and very big lunch, accompanied by perhaps a few too many sherbets, and this blog.
It seems to me that the basic purpose of Christmas is to provide an opportunity to reaffirm the importance of family and the relationships that exist in our lives. However, we have been hi-jacked by commerce, self interest and marketing at its most venal.
Christmas has become a commercial day, even my Jewish friends get caught up in the frenzy, and I am almost ashamed to admit, I have no Muslim friends with whom I have felt sufficiently comfortable to have a philosophical discussion about Christmas, and the personification, indeed branding of it as” Santa Day”.
So, hug your kids, embrace your friends, smile, and remember that it is us that has allowed Santa to become a brand, so it can also be us that steps above the commerce and get back to the real meaning.
Merry Christmas, and thanks for engaging with my variable musings throughout the 5 years of this blog, I hope to have scratched your brain from time to time.

“Collective clarity” and “alignment” are different beasts

aligned

In some circumstances, “collective clarity” may be a synonym for alignment, but in others it is an entirely different beast.

 Currently I am involved in a project that aims to bring together a small group of specialist growers and retailers into a collaborative framework that delivers fresh Sydney basin produce to consumers, and contributes to the building of a brand. “Sydney Harvest“, if successful in pilot, offers the opportunity for commercial sustainability to both Sydney basin farmers and specialist retailers. In the process of developing this project, which seeks to  re-engineer the supply chain in response to the economy wide trends that are placing huge pressure on the viability of agriculture in urban proximity, the differences have become stark.

Alignment is typically sought inside a commercial entity, all employees, and stakeholders having a clear understanding of the enterprises direction, priorities, and resources availabilities so each can see the bigger picture, beyond just their area of operation, and act accordingly.

Collective clarity, by contrast, is a term I have started to use to describe the necessity of having a common view of the end point of a collaborative project amongst all collaborators, as well as of the key project collaborative points along the way. This is external to any of the individual enterprises.

By its nature, a collaboration is not subject to the  same management thinking that prevails in commercial enterprises, as collaborators are all independent, and sometimes competitive businesses. It therefore requires that they all recognize that their individual best interests are  best served by serving the best interests of the collaboration, a big ask.

This Collective clarity is required amongst collaborators for a successful collaboration, alignment as commonly articulated as being internal, is not.

Each individual business will still  be managed independently, in their own way. The processes that impact on the collective operations will usually be only a small part of the overall, and so will often require a different perspective, and explicit management, and leadership to be effective.

I would welcome feedback on this idea, as I have not seen it articulated before.

To be better, you also have to be different.

soldier-yawning-perfect-timing

Recognising better is really hard when all offerings in the market appear similar. It follows then that you also must be different.

This brings in another challenge, being different is not enough, you also have to deliver. Being different just offers the opportunity to be seen, and perhaps to deliver, that you would not have had otherwise.

Take Seth Godins Purple Cow example. If you had rushed out and bought a purple cow thinking purple milk would be cool, then all you got was the same white milk that you could get from any old cow, then you would be disappointed. The “purple” did not deliver on the promise of the purple cow to be different, It got noticed, chosen once, but did not deliver.

Classic case, Red Bull is a beverage, a crappy tasting, caffeinated, cocktail of chemicals, and Co2, selling at a premium. Yet look at their website, they do not sell the product, there is almost nothing about the product on it, the site is all about the brand ,the excitement, the story, updated in close to real time, and tailored to your location. It is a storytelling masterpiece, one that almost all marketers would be well advised to understand.

Storytelling is more than a core skill of marketing, it is the critical ingredient, without which, your marketing will be hollow. To be sustainably successful, however, you need to live the story, do it, not just tell it. Steve Goldners post on the best facebook page ever eloquently makes the case.

 

How much is too much?

twitter stream

Mass marketing used to be about blasting messages to an ill defined supposed user base, “women 18-30” because that is about the best we could do.

With the advent of social media, we have been led to understand that the analytics behind the scene enable extremely accurate targeting of messages, just be wary, as the recipient  now has the ability to trash your message, and turn it back on you.

Why is it then that brands, some big, sophisticated ones, are using social media, specifically Twitter, as a mass medium, sending huge numbers of messages.

I was browsing marketing charts when up popped this research noting that some top brands are tweeting 30 times a week.

Do the wallies driving this really think the consumers who find themselves on a brand twitter-list want to hear from them that much? Are they considering the negative reaction that much crap can bring? At the very least, it is a good reason to dump your brand of choice for one that does not annoy you as much on social media.

When was the last time you had areal  conversation with a brand??

Why would you want to receive tweets from them beyond the occasional piece of genuine news, or value offer??

How much is too much?.