5 questions to navigate AI driven slop

5 questions to navigate AI driven slop

 

 

My youth was spent in the surf on Sydney’s northern beaches.

From time to time after suffering a wipeout well before the days of leg-ropes on surfboards, I would find myself pounded by a succession of large broken waves that severely tested my lung capacity, and ability to push back on a creeping feeling of panic.

I am getting the same feeling from the waves of AI generated and enabled bullshit hitting me progressively, it seems every minute of the day.

Our capacity to distil meaning from the avalanche of words, images, theories, selective fact presentation, and complete bullshit is being drowned.

When being crunched by this set of waves, ask yourself 5 questions.

  1. What is the source of the data/story
  2. What does it really show/mean?
  3. What action is required?
  4. Who is responsible, by when?
  5. What are the anticipated, testable outcomes?

Finding answers will not stop the waves coming at you, but it will help you push back, take a deep breath, and swim for solid ground.

 

 

 

 

 

Digital has  weaponised persuasion.

Digital has  weaponised persuasion.

 

 

In 1984, Dr. Robert Cialdini published Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion, outlining the six core drivers of human compliance:

Reciprocity,

Commitment & Consistency,

Social Proof,

Authority,

Liking,

Scarcity.

Decades later, psychologist Daniel Kahneman expanded our understanding of human decision-making in Thinking, Fast and Slow. He demonstrated how our fast, intuitive “System 1” brains routinely rely on these shortcuts, or as psychologists call them: heuristics, as survival mechanisms.

Both psychologists turned authors issued clear warnings: these principles could be leveraged just as easily by bad actors as by those setting out to persuade for positive outcomes.

Cialdini wrote for an analogue world of salesman, direct mail, and print advertising. He could not have foreseen the impact of the internet, social media, and generative AI.

In the analogue era, persuasion took time and human effort. Today, machine learning algorithms execute Cialdini’s drivers at micro-targeted scale. The tiny safety mechanism that were present pre digital, of time to reflect on a choice has been removed by the instantaneous speed of digital. The opportunity for rational analysis to impose itself on an immediate emotional reaction has been dramatically reduced.

Social proof is manufactured via engagement metrics; authority is mimicked by credible sounding bullshit, scarcity is simulated through algorithmic urgencies, and consistency has built its own echo chamber that hardens peoples beliefs, even in the face of clear data to the contrary.

The result is systemic fragmentation.

Households, public discourse, political systems, and social licenses are splitting into opposing, highly polarised positions.

The forces Cialdini identified have not changed, they are the result of millions of years of evolution. What has changed is that AI now automates persuasion compounding the moral gap between the ‘Persuaders’ and those targeted for persuasion.

 

 

 

Beyond cost cutting: Where value creation is moving in manufacturing

Beyond cost cutting: Where value creation is moving in manufacturing

 

Cost reduction remains the default KPI for most manufacturing organisations. In a world where nearly every product category faces relentless commoditisation, aggressive new competitors popping up unexpectedly, and razor-thin margins, squeezing out cost feels like the only sensible survival strategy.

The alternative strategy is challenging, as it requires looking at a fundamental paradox in modern industry.

As automation has accelerated, machines have taken over repetitive tasks with unmatched reliability. Yet human labour hasn’t vanished, it is progressively relocating.

Value behaves much like the conservation of energy in Einsteins equations. It is not destroyed, it merely changes form under pressure and moves elsewhere.

If we apply this idea to manufacturing, the primary mandate of leadership is no longer just cutting costs. It is becoming the larger challenge of expanding the capabilities of employees and other stakeholders.

Value creation is migrating.

Over the last 50 years, machines mastered physical repetition, which reduces costs by replacing people, and maintaining consistency of throughput and standards. It also moves the point of value creation towards work machines cannot reliably perform: judgement, creativity, problem solving, and leadership.

As AI accelerates, we are confronted by the question of where those displaced by technology will go, what will they be doing, and what are the social and economic consequences of the changes.

In past technological shifts, manual labour to steam, then steam to electricity, horses to cars and trucks, fingers, and vacuum tubes to digital, the changes evolved over sufficient time for adjustments to evolve. There was pain associated with the changes, but it was limited albeit unevenly spread. However, each change occurred over a progressively shortening time frame. The AI driven tectonic change is happening in real time, before our eyes, so adjustment time will be very limited. Cost cutting may preserve short term margin, but it does not give customers a reason to choose you.

The scale and short-term horizon points directly toward the need to enable and enhance uniquely human skills: high-level problem solving, empathy, strategic collaboration, adaptability, and social intelligence. These are cognitive areas automation cannot easily replicate.

Despite dystopian sci-fi tropes, AI and advanced automation are simply tools waiting to be directed. Leaders who recognise where human value is moving, and actively reskill their workforce to meet it have the opportunity to redefine the ways they create customer value in their markets.

Those who remain fixated solely on cost-cutting will quickly find themselves commoditised into oblivion.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Digital has compounded the weaponization of persuasion.

Digital has compounded the weaponization of persuasion.

 

 

In 1984, Dr. Robert Cialdini published Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion, outlining the six core drivers of human compliance:

  • Reciprocity,
  • Commitment & Consistency,
  • Social Proof,
  • Authority,
  • Liking,
  • Scarcity

Decades later, psychologist Daniel Kahneman expanded our understanding of human decision-making in his ground breaking book Thinking, Fast and Slow. By experimentation, with research partner Amos Tversky, he demonstrated how our fast, intuitive “System 1” brains routinely rely on these shortcuts to reach a compelling conclusion. The research on which the book explains in laymans terms earned him the Nobel prize in economics.

Both books issued clear warnings: these principles could be leveraged just as easily by bad actors as by those whose objective is positive.

Cialdini wrote for an analogue world of salesman, direct mail, and print advertising. He could not have foreseen the impact of the internet, social media, and generative AI.

In the analogue era, persuasion took time and human effort. Today, machine learning algorithms execute Cialdini’s drivers at immediate, micro-targeted scale.

The tiny safety mechanism that was present pre digital, of the opportunity to reflect on a choice has been removed by the speed of digital. Any chance rational analysis had of imposing itself on an immediate emotional reaction has been dramatically reduced.

Social proof is manufactured via engagement metrics; authority is mimicked by synthetic media; scarcity is simulated through algorithmic urgency, and consistency has built its own echo chamber.

The result is systemic fragmentation and hardening of an opinion forged by these forces. Once a person takes a position, persuading them to change becomes progressively harder when they perceive that the effort to change is an attack. Our brains evolved to be a safety mechanism, so attack hardens resolve to defend. This has generated the divisions we see around us every day.

Households, public discourse, political systems, and social licenses are splitting into opposing, and polarised positions.

The forces Cialdini identified have not changed, they are the result of millions of years of evolution. What has changed is that AI now automates persuasion on both sides of the divide, compounding the fracture every second.

 

 

The Case for Paying for Search

The Case for Paying for Search

There was a time when advertising followed intent.

People searched for information, and businesses met them there with relevant answers. A second key attribute of the ‘old’ system was that advertising created mental availability. This resulted in a brand presence and positioning being already established when someone ventured towards a market. In other words, ‘Brand building’, a set of disciplines too often ignored by those injected with digital as a panacea to all marketing challenges. The exchange was simple: attention for information, need for solution.

That model has been inverted.

Accuracy and relevance are up for auction. Today, marketers rely on platforms like Google and Facebook to push ads towards loosely defined behavioural categories.

Whether the recipient is a genuine prospect or a bot farm is often beside the point. The system optimises for delivery, not relevance. In some cases, it seems that simply being human is no longer the qualifying criterion.

What used to be information-led discovery has become auction-driven visibility.

“Information” is now whatever wins the bid inside an opaque algorithm. The bidder willing to pay enough, while satisfying the platform’s quality formula gets the privileged slot, whether or not they offer the best answer.

It begins to resemble a protection racket worthy of the Corleone family more than a marketplace.

If you do not pay, you do not appear. Visibility is no longer earned through relevance or quality, but purchased through participation.

If we reverse the model, and are prepared to pay for clarity and priority for the needs of the information seeker rather than the advertiser, the logic shifts quickly towards paid access.

AI search sits awkwardly in a new middle ground we have yet to adequately define. It promises a clean, single ‘best’ answer without the clutter of ads. However, the definition of what constitutes a ‘best’ answer is unclear.

What it delivers is not truth., it is probability. A compressed synthesis of what has been said before, shaped into what is most likely to satisfy the query.

That works well for established facts. Ask for a public figure’s birth year, and you will probably get an accurate answer.

Move into ambiguity or historical uncertainty, however, and the cracks appear. The system does not “know” in any meaningful sense. It predicts.

Its goal is coherence, not correctness.

This creates a subtle but important risk: the illusion of authority without the guarantee of accuracy.

Meanwhile, alternatives are available, and more are emerging, where the user once again, becomes the customer.

Smaller search platforms are experimenting with models that shift incentives away from attention and towards trust. Some rely on subscriptions. Others allow limited, user-controlled advertising or blend in affiliate models.

What unites them is a simple premise: you are the customer, not the product.

Today, their market share is marginal, but the underlying value proposition is strong.

As digital environments grow noisier and more manipulative, the ability to control what reaches you becomes a premium feature.

That control will not be free.

But as with any system where incentives shape outcomes, which is most of them, paying for alignment rather than being monetised through distraction may prove to be a far better deal most of the time.

How do you avoid becoming an AI passenger?

How do you avoid becoming an AI passenger?

 

 

Most recognise the danger of AI. It delivers a slick, formatted persuasive response to a prompt. It has become way too easy to just accept the veracity of the response and move from the drivers seat to the back seat. This removes yourself from the sweat of doing the work, and the responsibility for the outcomes.

We see it all the time, often in spots where we accept that there has been a level of scrutiny that should deliver reliable outcomes. For example, the crapola pie Deloitte delivered to the government in June 2025, which then published the deeply flawed AI generated report without any review.

The answer is in the transparency of the process of assembling, analysing, and preparing the output. What is included, what has been ‘AI imagined’ to fill the gaps in the prompting and resulting workflow, and easiest to miss, what has been left out.

The challenge is rapidly compounding as we move into the ‘AI Agent’ world, where we expect a whole multi-step process to be executed on our behalf by a machine.

Following a few sensible steps can dramatically improve the quality of the output.

Set hard boundaries.

  • Define in explicit terms what the process will and will not do. Is the workflow restricted to your own files, or can it go outside?
  • If it is instructed to use outside sources, what are the boundaries?
  • Explicitly instruct that there be no generation of conclusions before a human review of the sources and for/against arguments.
  • Insert a series of ‘stop’ points beyond which the tool will not proceed until instructed to do so. Instruct the tool to act as a devil’s advocate at each stop/go point.

Transparent provenance.

AI tools extract information from the sources it finds or are directed to. Those sources define the potential of the output to deliver useful value of some sort to the user. Curating the sources the tool examines is therefore a fundamental step in the generation of that value.

Remain curious.

Just because a tool can repeat a workflow accurately every time does not mean that the workflow is perfect. It takes human curiosity and experimentation to test and retest a process that is designed to deliver an optimised outcome. The AI cannot do that optimising; it requires a curious human to be in the drivers seat asking that key ‘what if’ question. So, turn off the process from time to time, and go back to the old way, manual execution.

An exercise I did many times pre-AI to improve a record-keeping process was to imagine myself as a paperclip, attached to relevant documentation. I would follow the document through the process, documenting every point at which the document was delayed, added to, moved, and authorised, and the time lapse of each of those points. Map it out, and inevitably you will see improvement opportunities. AI cannot see those opportunities.

These steps will stop the tool trying to please you by being agreeable and synthesising conclusions.