Your three most valuable assets are not on your balance sheet.

Your three most valuable assets are not on your balance sheet.

Dec 5, 2018 | Customers, Management, Strategy

 

The first is the value of your brands, the second is your customer list, the third is the ‘culture’ that exists, a fragile qualitative asset which is a vital part of commercial sustainability.

A balance sheet is a snapshot in time of the financial value of your business. It is based on standard accounting practice which fails to recognise the non financial assets that may be present.  Some may include an element of ‘goodwill’ but that is usually just an accounting treatment of the difference paid for a business compared to its tangible asset backing.

The value of a business is the future cash flow that will come from providing goods and services to customers. While that cash flow does come from the tangible assets of the business, in these days of ‘knowledge work’ most of it comes from the three sources noted above, not included on the balance sheet.

A professional services firm has very few tangible assets. A few desks and computers, they probably lease their premises, and their most valuable assets walk out of the office every afternoon.

In the case of a B2C business, your customers are generally different from your consumers, which just serves to increase the relative value of your brand. Consumers make the vital choice of which product to purchase, the intermediaries, wholesalers and retailers are just anticipating what choices they might make, and profiting from the arbitrage.

An acquaintance sold his business some months ago for a tidy sum. The business had been established for a considerable time, was successful, and he had kept up  the level of investment, particularly in his employees, so that it had every prospect of continuing to be successful.

The new owner closed it down.

They took on a few key employees, but locked the gates, broke the operating leases, and sold off the remaining assets.

All they wanted were the customer lists, along with what was in the heads of those few employees who had the direct relationships with the key customers, and the potential scale that was on offer with the elimination of a competitor.  The whole value of the business was tied up in the Intellectual Capital of those in the business, and the manner in which it delivered value to customers, not in the hard assets recorded in the balance sheet. However, in failing to recognise the value of the culture in the business which they destroyed, they ensured that the transaction would be a financial failure over the medium term.

Be sure you understand the full value of those assets not on your balance sheet, and invest in them, as ultimately, they will be the core of the value of the business.

 

The most common cause of the failure of medium sized businesses.

The most common cause of the failure of medium sized businesses.

Nov 19, 2018 | Customers, Strategy

  Businesses fail for a lot of reasons, lack of cash, their product becomes redundant, competitors emerge at a cheaper price, distribution is not as anticipated, inadequate sales skills, and many others. However, all these failures have a common root. They were not important enough to the few who might have really cared enough to give them their business. They try to be all things to all people, and even the most successful company of the last 25 years, Apple, cannot pull that off. What on earth makes you think you can? The key to success is to do less. Relentlessly prune everything you do until there is nothing left but the stuff that is really, really important to the few, that you do better than anyone else. That combination stops those key target customers going anywhere else. Saying ‘No’ is the hardest thing any medium business has to do. However, it is also amongst the most important things. Stand for something genuinely meaningful to the few, and deliver relentlessly to them. Forget the rest. Header credit. My thanks once again to Hugh McLeod at Gapingvoid.com  
How to swim in the profit pool

How to swim in the profit pool

Nov 5, 2018 | Customers, Strategy

 

Every industry is an amalgam of value chains, demographic, behavioural, and geographic segments of customers and suppliers.

Inevitably, some of these segments are more profitable than others for a range of reasons. Therefore it makes sense to understand where the profits in your target value chain are being made currently, and where those profits may move to in the future.

There are two challenges here, the harder is seeing the future, but the second, identifying where the profits are now, should be easier.

Apply the Pareto principal to all the segments in the whole value chain, and you will inevitably see that at each point, Pareto rules.

It therefore follows that your best strategy is to identify the areas where your value proposition can add value to the 20% that deliver 80% of the profit.

The king of this strategy is Apple, who control about 15% of the volume of mobile phones sold, but accrues 85% of the profit available in the market.

Who are the 5% of customers who truly value something only you can offer?

Find them and you will be swimming in the profit pool, with little opposition.

 

How much should I spend on that winning that tender?

How much should I spend on that winning that tender?

Oct 2, 2018 | Customers, Governance, Strategy

 

That is a common question, which requires some rephrasing to be answered with anything other than ‘It depends’

‘How much should I invest to increase my chances of winning that tender’ is a better question.

Would you spend 20k to have a 50/50 chance of a $5 million contract?

How about if your chances of success were only 20%. Would you still spend the 20k?

There is a continuum here, one that should change with your circumstances, and your judgement of your chances in the tender process. The management challenge is quantifying the level of risk tolerance that exists at that time.

‘How much should I spend’ is a form of question that implies a short term is involved, ‘How much should I invest’ implies a longer term. It may only be a semantic difference, but  there is a great difference in the manner in which you approach the tenders preparation.

Quoting on tenders has two elements, the first is that now it is a tender, the implication is always that you are just one of several to tender, so it is an auction, of sorts.

The second is that there is never a sure fire thing, even when you have the inside running for any one of a large number of reasons, the most usual being incumbency of some sort. The fact that there has been a tender made public is an indication that the tenderer is not only looking for a price, they are looking for ideas.

To some questions you should be asking yourself:

  • How valuable is the tender to me? If the tenderer is your biggest customer, and you are an incumbent for this sort of job, the answer would probably be very valuable, not just for the job being tendered, but for the ongoing relationship and flow of further work.
  • What is the strategic value of the customer? This will often be a similar answer to the previous question, but your largest customers always started as a new, much smaller customer, and grew, so considering how ‘strategic’ they may be is important. An acquaintance of mine has what he calls a ‘green-keeping’ business that specialises in public spaces. He will do everything possible to win tenders put out by public bodies, councils, schools, and the like, as each one he wins is strategically important not just to the current cash flow, but to the position he holds in the competitive field.
  • How unique is my solution? When you can do something none of your tender competitors can do, price becomes less important. Following the above example of the green-keeping business, he owns a tractor towed machine that ‘cores’ a surface, an important factor for vigorous grass growth on areas like football fields. All of his competitors need to hire such a machine (sometimes from him) as the need arises which adds a significant cost to maintenance and a resulting reluctance, which often enables him to get a superior outcome.
  • How close is the strategic fit of the tenderer to the profile of my ideal customer? Every successful business has an idea of what their ideal customers look like, and the closer to the ideal profile a tenderer is, the more important it will be to win a tender that arises from them.
  • How does the job fit into the existing workflow? When you have a ‘hole’ in your work flow, filling it becomes more urgent, the alternative being to cover the overhead costs from reserves or remove them. When the latter course is taken, it can be hard to resource back up when the work flows in again.
  • How does the job fit my capability mix? A key part of having a profile of the ideal customer is that the mix of capabilities you can deliver exactly matches what is required by the tenderer. Having to buy in a capability you do not have is a strategic decision, and should be made carefully.
  • What is the net cash flow from the project over the life of the project? To do any sort of financial calculation, this forecast is an absolute necessity. It should be done in any case, as you are bidding for the contract, and therefore should have calculated your costs and the financial benefits and risks. This is all that is needed for a financial calculation.

 

Having determined how important the job may be to win, the task is to increase your chances and decide how much to invest in winning.

There are two variables, the amount you invest, and the chances of winning the tender. To do a financial calculation on the options, you could use a function called  ‘Net Present Value’  or NPV. We all recognise that a dollar today is worth more than a projected dollar tomorrow. The value of tomorrows dollar being reduced by  the amount of inflation, and the certainty of the projected cash flow from the project.

To do an NPV calculation, you need to have projected the cash flows to which you are applying the formula.

The NPV formula is simple in principal: Assume an amount of $20,000 is outlaid with the projection that in the following 3 years the project will deliver 100k/year positive cash flow in current dollars, and the discount rate is 5% to allow for 5% inflation.

The cash flow looks like:

$20,000 initial investment, followed by year 1 net cash flow of $100,000, plus year2  100,000 X .95 = $95,000 plus discounted year 3 of $90,250.

The net cash flow from the project is therefore $285,250.

Therefore the net present value of the initial investment at the end of the project is $285,525 – $20,000, or $265,525. In this case, it would seem that the investment of 20k in winning the tender would be a very good investment indeed.

The discount rate can be changed to reflect not just the future value of current dollars, but to also  reflect the risk of not winning. This can be a more complex calculation, but relatively easily done with a formula called Internal Rate of Return (IRR) available in every spreadsheet package.

These two calculations, NPV and IRR are routinely done in tandem by accountants to calculate a risk adjusted return from an investment.

When considering the question ‘how much should I spend on this tender‘ they will together be very handy tools.

Cartoon credit: Scott Adams and Dilbert.

That essential second value proposition

That essential second value proposition

Aug 13, 2018 | Customers, Leadership

At the heart of every successful business is a promise made by a business to its customers and potential customers:  Value  can be created for them by commercial engagement.

I have never done any sort of strategic or marketing program where the definition of the Customer Value Proposition is not front and centre.

Often this is expressed as an ‘Elevator Pitch’, a summarised articulation of how that value can be created, usually by highlighting a problem or circumstance that will be addressed by using the products being offered. The logic is that you have 30 seconds, no more,  to make an impression, and given that people are more interested in themselves that you, the way to get their attention is to direct that 30 seconds to telling them how you will make their lives better.

It is a really effective strategy, road tested and tuned over many years.

Why is it then  that we so often fail to do the same thing for our stakeholders, particularly our employees?

Logically, if we can articulate why we make their lives better by working there, beyond the need to put food on their table,  and a roof over the kids heads, the result will be a more motivated and engaged workforce.

The second value proposition therefore is the one we make to our employees.

In most foyers these days there is some sort of mission statement, or statement of ‘business purpose,’ values, or some such fluffy words that could apply to just about every business around.

Who does not want to work for a business that respects customers, shows integrity, and transparency in the way it deals with employees?

Would it not be better to craft a genuine second value proposition aimed at stakeholders? In most cases, it will be very similar to those used on prospective customers, the desired outcome is the same: engagement and motivation.

Therefore the best way to create an engaged employee group is to repeat your customer value proposition to them, over and over, so it is clearly understood. Then you ensure that the tools are in place to enable every employee to contribute to the propositions delivery, and most importantly, live it every day, in every decision made, and every action taken.

Cartoon credit: Hugh Mcleod at Gapingvoid.com

E.&O.E. Very thoughtful reader Craig Armour http://www.kcarmour.com.au/ pointed out the error in the last paragraph. How much better it would be to have the employees sufficiently engaged that they could repeat the CVP back to you. Absolutely right.

 

When is the best time to sell?

When is the best time to sell?

Jul 6, 2018 | Customers, Sales

Clearly the best time to sell is when the customer is ready to buy.

The challenge is that you have to know your customers well to be able to create some sort of relationship that evolves as they become more ready to buy, they are looking for some information you can provide, make an offer that is compelling, and so on.

Getting the ‘time to buy’ wrong is a common, basic and often terminal mistake.

A while ago (before the current Royal Commission was announced) I wandered into the local branch of my bank. I wanted to make a simple procedural inquiry, and make a cash withdrawal larger than the ATM would allow. The teller was pleasant and helpful, but at the end of the transaction, launched into a spiel about insurance, urging me to undertake a review of my insurance with one of their ‘experts’, guaranteeing to save me money.

Almost everyone buys insurance, usually multiple types, so it is a fair bet that something is coming up for renewal.

However, when I walked in, I was not  thinking about insurance, and felt no need for a review, despite being depressed at the cost every time I renew a policy.

Dead money, unless circumstances are against you and you need to claim, and then you still need to extract the money from the insurer. At the best of times insurance is a reluctant, even grudge, purchase. We all hate it, and prefer not to think about the almost always dead money represented by the premiums.

The young teller was very persistent, immune to a simple ‘no thanks’ so I had to be rude, and just walk away.  However, it was not her fault, there is  no doubt in my mind that someone disconnected with customers had decided that tellers were the ideal lead generators for insurance sales, and had schooled tellers in the pitch, then applied a KPI to them:

‘Sales pitches delivered, and number of reviews initiated’ . Pity the KPI is almost certain to annoy a substantial number of existing and possibly formerly loyal customers, and often make the person delivering it very uncomfortable. Hardly a great selling environment.

The best time to sell is when someone is ready to buy, delivering a ‘hard sell’ to them at any other time is a good way to ensure they will  not come back to you when they are ready to buy.

Header screenshot from the movie ‘Glengarry Glen Ross’